Illinois Turns It’s Back On Obama, GOP In Lead

Carl Andrews | February 5, 2010 

The state that first elected and then pawned off Barack Obama on the rest of America is more supportive of the Republican running for the President’s vacated Senate seat.

Republican Mark Kirk holds a modest 46 percent to 40 percent lead over Democrat Alexi Giannoulias in the race for the Illinois Senate following Tuesday’s party primaries.

The first post-primary Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 telephone survey of the Kirk-Giannoulias race finds just four percent (4 percent) of likely voters in the state prefer some other candidate, while another 10 percent are undecided.

Among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties, the Republican holds a sizable 59 percent to 22 percent lead.

In December, Giannoulias was up by three points over Kirk. In October, the two men were tied at 41 percent each. In mid-August, Kirk held a modest 41 percent to 38 percent lead over Giannoulias.

The two men, as projected in previous Rasmussen Reports surveys, defeated several challengers to win their respective party primaries on Tuesday. But while Kirk holds a six-point lead for now in the race for the Senate seat held by Barack Obama, he may still face an uphill struggle in a state that trends Democratic.

Kirk, a U.S. congressman, leads Giannoulias, Illinois’ current state treasurer, by a wide margin among male voters but trails his Democratic rival by 13 points among female voters.

Fifty-five percent (55 percent) of Illinois voters have a favorable opinion of Kirk, including 17 percent with a very favorable view of him. He’s viewed unfavorably by 33 percent, with just eight percent (8 percent) who have a very unfavorable opinion. Twelve percent (12 percent) are still not sure what they think of Kirk at this point.

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